20/09/2012 09:47 | By Vinnie Penn, MSN US TV contributor
2012 Emmy predictions: Homeland to beat Downton Abbey

MSN TV's man in the US runs down the night's likely big winners, and who we're really rooting for



Peter Dinklage at the Emmys 2011 (© Wireimage/Jordan Strauss)
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The 64th Primetime Emmy Awards airs Sunday 23 September, and is hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, who is a nominee as well. Yes, the host is also a nominee, much like James Franco at the Oscars. But Kimmel will be entertaining and actually has a shot at winning.

My Oscar prediction record is startling: I honestly don't think I have got one wrong in over 10 years. I was kicked out of an Academy Award party many years ago due to my predictions proving correct so tirelessly that it infuriated the host.

Why am I going on and on about my Oscar prediction track record for a piece about Emmy predictions? Well, because it's pristine, spotless, perfect. And my Emmy one - yeah, not so much.

Fact is, the Emmys can be big on repeat visits to the podium for folks. Real big. That makes it occasionally tough to call. They are also prone to nostalgia, to giving it up to the "sentimental favourite." Then there's the penchant for debut-season sweeps (which HBO's Girls can easily pull off this year, though I doubt it will).

That said, I have done my TV-addicted best to predict the outcome in the major categories here.

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